Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 24.695777 28.544764 32.712259 37.549324 42.997995 48.934461 55.880322
2025-01-12 17.446659 22.588014 28.704381 36.465528 45.994721 57.252567 71.493139
2025-01-19 12.853487 18.274222 25.236136 34.718684 47.166549 62.804656 83.768159
2025-01-26 11.194870 17.152816 25.281726 36.978822 53.135581 74.388724 104.125577
2025-02-02 10.315131 16.842300 26.212546 40.323523 60.641832 88.378999 128.535123
2025-02-09 8.900444 15.466801 25.370595 40.949660 64.281727 97.257397 146.530518
2025-02-16 7.614376 14.047191 24.216073 40.880364 66.765087 104.532099 162.610659
2025-02-23 6.497040 12.700351 22.958527 40.434372 68.524462 110.739169 177.399454
2025-03-02 5.616062 11.603090 21.935733 40.190395 70.478188 117.249502 192.910437
2025-03-09 4.874510 10.628363 20.976463 39.904183 72.264685 123.525748 208.334647
2025-03-16 3.955679 9.157519 18.947798 37.545956 70.389180 123.852704 214.444314
2025-03-23 3.615428 8.775242 18.838107 38.522957 74.159983 133.388769 235.581143
2025-03-30 3.376623 8.599429 19.157435 40.425545 79.890084 146.836599 264.411292
2025-04-06 2.851660 7.715257 17.997084 39.472196 80.541099 151.962574 280.110041
2025-04-13 2.330734 6.729152 16.480742 37.638266 79.390303 153.887172 290.519339
2025-04-20 2.236883 6.749597 17.080338 40.070310 86.390055 170.441301 326.822524
2025-04-27 2.232708 6.994745 18.195439 43.657598 95.853879 191.901927 372.733132
2025-05-04 2.018457 6.648709 17.937519 44.328889 99.668164 203.368040 401.623935
2025-05-11 1.783596 6.195773 17.366461 44.254701 101.970263 212.162556 426.162451
2025-05-18 1.557002 5.714082 16.653606 43.776794 103.384855 219.339131 448.077699
2025-05-25 1.370993 5.309287 16.068735 43.515333 105.204947 227.355298 471.897933
2025-06-01 1.206461 4.931399 15.494768 43.208591 106.885550 235.168058 495.688476
2025-06-08 0.975171 4.270247 14.065076 40.680442 103.525762 232.856103 500.152528